From Holden:
You’ve seen the numbers elsewhere, I’m sure. Here’s the link to make it official.
CNN/USA Today/Gallup
Likely Voters:
Bush 49 (-3)
Kerry 49 (+5)
Registered Voters:
Bush 49 (-3)
Kerry 47 (+5)
Newsweek
Registered Voters:
Bush 45 (-4)
Kerry 47 (+4)
Since Gallup insists on oversampling republicans, add about eight points to their numbers. And of course neither poll even considers including any of the record number of new registrants in their samples.