From Holden:

The new Democracy Corps Poll has Kerry in the lead among likely voters:

Democracy Corps Poll

Likely voters

Bush 48 (-1)

Kerry 49 (+3)

Uh-oh. The new Fox News poll has Kerry with a lead among registered voters in both the two-way and three-way race:

FOX News/Opinion Dynamics Poll

Registered voters (3-way)

Bush 42 (-1)

Kerry 46 (+4)

Nader 2 (-2)

Likely voters (3-way)

Bush 47 (+1)

Kerry 45 (+3)

Nader 1 (unchanged)

Registered voters (2-way)

Bush 43 (-1)

Kerry 46 (+2)

Likely voters (2-way)

Bush 43 (-1)

Kerry 45 (+2)