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The Cantrell Indictment

Photo via NOLA.com.

I don’t like New Orleans Mayor LaToya Cantrell. I also don’t like the federal indictment handed down against her last week.

Before learning the details of the charges, I hoped they addressed some serious corruption allegations involving contractor kickbacks and sweetheart deals. Instead, the charges involve the sweetheart Cantrell lied to the FBI about: Her former bodyguard and NOPD officer, Jeffrey Vappie who has also been charged.

 I’ll let the Picayune’s Julia Guilbeau summarize the charges, so I don’t have to:

That was a long ass quote, but it lays the groundwork for this post. The Picayune also published a timeline of the investigation.

The most serious charges involve lying to the FBI and the coverup. The travel expenses stuff strikes me as defensible, especially if the defense can show that past Mayors took a bodyguard on trips with them. The city routinely pays for staff travel expenses and $70K is small beer or is that potatoes? It’s more of an ethics violation than a federal felony IMO.

It’s time to put on my lawyer hat: This is a case that I’d rather defend than prosecute. The chances for jury nullification are high and the chances of a conviction without Vappie flipping are only fair to middling. It all comes down to voir dire. If they pick the right jury, the defense can hang it or even obtain an acquittal.

Working the jury pool with a PR offensive is important for the defense. It’s all about the timing: The investigation began under the Biden DOJ. It seemed to grind to a halt after charges were filed against Vappie last year. Then came last week’s indictment. If I were on this case, I’d blast the Trump administration, popular in much of the Gret Stet of Louisiana, but even more unpopular in New Orleans than the Mayor. The Cantrell indictment is a textbook example of prosecutorial overreach. There’s a lot of that going around.

The defense should use the dread term weaponization in their PR offensive. Cantrell is a Black woman and the Democratic Mayor of a blue city. They should play on mistrust of Kash Patel’s FBI. Cantrell shouldn’t have lied to the FBI, but the defense should argue that everyone lies about their sex life. It was unwise but it’s human nature.

Back to jury selection. Most local Black women of my acquaintance are irked that Cantrell has been singled out for private conduct regardless of whether they approve of her as Mayor. Their frequent refrain is that past male mayors got away with tomcatting around, so why should Cantrell be punished for doing likewise?

The jury pool arguments I just advanced are unlikely to be heard in court: the trial Judge is Trump appointed Wendy Vitter. That’s right, Diaper Dave’s long-suffering wife. You can’t make this shit up.

If were Cantrell’s lawyer, I would urge her to go to trial. There’s a good chance at jury nullification on even the coverup and perjury charges unless Vappie testifies and so far he’s refused to flip. A plea bargain for lying to the FBI wouldn’t surprise me either.

The race to succeed Cantrell is heating up. The indictment’s impact is uncertain BUT it’s likely bad news for Councilmember Oliver Thomas who pled guilty to a federal felony in 2007. As I like to say, if Oliver weren’t a convicted felon, I’d consider voting for him for Mayor. Of course, if he weren’t a convicted felon he was likely to have succeeded convicted felon C Ray Nagin in 2010.

Do I approve of Cantrell’s conduct? No, it was shady and lying to law enforcement was stupid.

Enough with my unsolicited advice. This post is long enough as it is. Let’s close with some loftier thoughts after pondering this sordid scandal:

LaToya Cantrell is the first New Orleans Mayor to be indicted while in office. Here’s hoping she’ll be the last. This scandal was the last thing we needed as the 20th Katrinaversary looms.

The last word goes to Whitney Houston with a song from The Bodyguard:

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