And Ponies For All

From Holden:

Chimpy manages a meager 38% approval rating in the latest Fox News poll.

Overall, almost one out of four voters says the economy (23 percent) will be the most important issue on their mind when they vote this fall, followed by the situation in Iraq (14 percent) and terrorism (12 percent). Here’s how the remaining issues rank: health care (11 percent), immigration (9 percent), gas prices (8 percent), Social Security (7 percent) and ethics in Washington (6 percent).

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Voters who say the economy is most important are more likely to back the Democratic candidate by 30 percentage points; voters who put Iraq as the main issue are much more likely to vote for the Democrat by 47 points. For terrorism voters, the advantage goes to the Republican by 42 points.

[snip]

A candidate’s position on when/if U.S. troops should be withdrawn from Iraq is significantly more important to voters than whether the candidate supported or opposed going to war in the first place. By a 60 percent to 22 percent margin, the candidate’s current position on troop withdrawal will be the larger factor in voting this fall.

[snip]

If the election were held today, 48 percent of voters say they would support the Democratic candidate and 32 percent the Republican. Democrats have had anywhere from a 3-point to an 18-point edge among registered voters since the beginning of the year in the generic ballot test.

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President Bush’s approval rating is 38 percent, up from 36 percent at the beginning of August. The bad news for Republican candidates is that — two months before the midterm election — a 56 percent majority of voters disapproves of their party’s leader.

[snip]

Finally, if Democrats win control of Congress, nearly half of voters (47 percent) think they will focus on coming up with new ideas to move the country forward, and 30 percent think Democrats will spend the next two years investigating President Bush and trying to impeach him.