Failed State

Yepper.

Iraq faces the distinct possibility of collapse and fragmentation, UK foreign policy think tank Chatham House says.

Its report says the Iraqi government is now largely powerless and irrelevant in many parts of the country.

It warns there is not one war but many local civil wars, and urges a major change in US and British strategy, such as consulting Iraq’s neighbours more.

[snip]

The Chatham House report, written by Gareth Stansfield, a Middle East expert, is unremittingly bleak, says BBC diplomatic correspondent James Robbins.

Mr Stansfield argues that the break-up of Iraq is becoming increasingly likely.

In large parts of the country, the Iraqi government is powerless, he says, as rival factions struggle for local supremacy.

The briefing paper, entitled Accepting Realities in Iraq, says: “There is not ‘a’ civil war in Iraq, but many civil wars and insurgencies involving a number of communities and organisations struggling for power.”

4 thoughts on “Failed State

  1. AnE says:

    if Iraq is not taken over by its neighbors, the outcome when we do pull out/implode will be very instructive. I really like what the Iraq labor movement has been doing… but of course there was this…

  2. pansypoo says:

    what is in last throes?
    the resistance? or democracy?

  3. Paul in LA says:

    There are six major factions in Iraq: Shia, Sunni, Kurd, CENTCOM, Al Qaeda, and 130,000 mercenaries.
    Bush brought the last three with him. Balancing the interests of the first three with the last three is completely impossible.
    “There is no more Iraq. There will be three territories.” — Henry Kissinger briefing his Saudi clients in early 2004
    The U.S. and the U.K. are the failed states most directly involved.

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