You might remember that last week featured a bunch of good polling news for the Democrats, and then that that good polling news was quickly overrun with more bad news for the Dems. The bad news was pushed by a lazy press desperate to return to the mindless horse race trope for their campaign pieces.
There was a problem though with the flood of new polls—they were overwhelmingly sponsored by Republican groups, and some of then had some pretty wacky crosstabs. Some outlets only posted their toplines and zero info about how they got those numbers. I even wrote to one pollster for a link for more info and got nothing. Hmmmm.
Those polls got added into the aggregate sites, and once again depression set in on all of the anti-extremists out there. The facts tell one story and the gaslighting tells another:
Here are the percentages of polls released by GOP allied groups ranked A/B in @fivethirtyeight of all polls taken in the state in October:
AZ – 75%
GA – 55%
NV – 60%
OH – 50%
PA – 60%
WA – 50%
and in states they think are not competitive:
CO – 20%
NC – 29%
WI – 0%
— Simon Rosenberg (@SimonWDC) October 30, 2022
Or just blatant stuff like this:
Herschel Walker % of Black vote in GOP vs nonpartisan polls:
InsiderAdvantage (R): 19%
CoEfficient (R): 22%
Rasmussen (R): 25%
— Drew Savicki 🦃🦃🦃 (@DrewSav) October 31, 2022
Let me be clear that I’m not making any predictions about the midterms—I’m just asking questions about the data we’re being given.
There’s another front open in the gaslighting war: the awful attack on Paul Pelosi by a MAGA miscreant. I fully expected the extremist GOP to play it down and to lie about it. But what I didn’t expect was the sheer pleasure they took in seeing an elderly man severely beaten and imagining an elderly woman with broken knees. It’s beyond appalling:
.@claudiatenney posted this remarkably cruel tweet laughing at the brutal beating of her colleague's husband and then when people started dragging her for it, she turned off the replies instead of deleting. Cowardly. pic.twitter.com/n983b03etF
— Aaron Rupar (@atrupar) November 1, 2022
Tenney has since deleted the tweet.
And then there was this group of people who though attacking Nancy Pelosi was hilarious, led by the completely reprehensible Kari Lake:
Kari Lake just now: “Nancy Pelosi, well, she’s got protection when she’s in DC — apparently her house doesn’t have a lot of protection.” The crowd burst into laughter and the interviewer was laughing so hard he covered his face with his notes. pic.twitter.com/JCBxbrpw9V
— Kate Sullivan (@KateSullivanDC) October 31, 2022
My cousin Kari lost her battle with cancer a few years ago. Every time I see Lake’s name I think of my cousin and how she faced her certain death with grace and I get furious. I know it’s irrational but it’s also understandable.
Of course FOX is running with all of the stupid, offensive conspiracies and blaming the Democrats. But I didn’t expect to see this crap on MSNBC:
Omg, Andrea Mitchell just bothsides us—again—on political violence.
Dear Andrea: The DIFFERENCE is that Dems do not condone violence or ridicule the victim. We STRONGLY CONDEMN those type of incidents and offer condolences and support not ridicule and denial. #bothsides pic.twitter.com/emuvPXQtWQ
— Justine 🇺🇦 🇺🇸 🐘 (@SFBayAreaGirl) November 1, 2022
There are a lot of sexist hot takes on social media and I had to search to find a tweet that was suitable because I am not looking to bash her for her age or her gender.
The issue is the ease with which she starts into the “both sides” narrative without even a second’s reflection about why Liz Cheney is facing threats and who those losers are. It’s all gaslighting to sell time to run commercials, the fate of the nation be damned.
I’ll be back on Thursday with my thoughts about the midterms. Until then I’ll leave you with this, one of my favorite songs about gaslighting: