She’s Got This

I voted last week, a small speck of blue in a red sea, and as dispiriting as the rest of the ballot was here in WV, I voted with the joy and knowledge that TFG is toast, done, cooked, stick a fork in him.

I was apprehensive about how the Biden-to-Harris nominee switch was going to go, but it went better than I had hoped, and the enthusiasm that has continued to greet her at every stop has not waned. Initially I had some reservations about a woman winning the presidency in our deeply misogynist country—and a few of them are still there—but I think women, even white women, know that it’s time to trash TFG for good.

The extremist media and the old guard media have been working overtime since July to convince us that TFG is even more popular than he was when he got his ass kicked in 2020, despite the deaths of hundreds of thousands of Covid victims at the hand of his own neglect, and despite his increasingly visible unraveling. The only way to keep you coming back to the news sites is to keep telling you that the race is too close to call, even if it was actually over years ago.

And the pollsters, desperate for eyeballs and clicks, have created a polling methodology that is now just based on eyeball and click projections. People made fun of you if you dove into a poll beyond the topline, but what you found below was pure Jabberwocky, and no one wants you to see the man behind the curtain.

The most egregious thing that the narrative drivers did was to erase women from the discussion. You may remember that that tactic was pretty widespread back before the 2022 midterms, where despite months of data showing that both conservative and liberal women were turning to protect their reproductive rights where they could, they were ignored in polling samples and in pre-election analysis. And it’s even worse this time.

After VP Harris became the unofficial Democratic nominee, voter registrations for women (and young people and people of color, who are also part of this pro-reproductive health coalition) soared once again. But, until this week, women have been systematically left out of polling discussions and voter analysis.

Then Sunday came around and TFG’s campaign began to systematically implode.

The only meaningful result of his MSG hate rally, where he worked so hard to look like a “normal” candidate during his big speech, was a catastrophic blunder which led to one major Puerto Rican artist to rescind his previous TFG endorsement, and which finally showed the rest of the country just how ugly the campaign was at its heart. It happened live with plenty of media coverage since it was a Sunday afternoon so it didn’t get buried under a weekday’s worth of news. You didn’t have to be Puerto Rican to be shocked at what was so freely and comfortably said.

Then on Wednesday, for reasons I do not understand, the campaign dressed TFG up as a sanitation worker and proceeded to highlight the fact that TFG is an elderly, infirm man who appears to have had some kind of neurological incident that affects his gait. The best part about all of this was that this video was supposed to be a victory lap, a triumphant overcoming of Sunday’s disaster. Instead, it’s now TFG’s own Dukakis-in-the-tank moment.

But there was also one more misstep on Wednesday that made me realize that it really was over for TFG, and it had nothing to do with third parties or with costumes, although it definitely does involve women, and that was his comments—while still in cosplaying mode as a working class American—about what he wants to do to women:

To be sure, he’s been saying this for a while, but it only got widely disseminated by the media because of the coverage of his garbage stunt. Unfortunately for TFG and his incel army, the scrutiny of this comment coincided with their outrage over Harris campaign ads that reminded women that they have the right to vote for their candidate in the privacy of the voting booth.

And now that the naked racism and creepy sexism of the campaign have broken through the firewall that the old guard media had set up to preserve their precious “horse race” narrative, it’s over for TFG. The campaign has been trying to throw up tons of distractions—fake voter fraud claims all over Pennsylvania, and increasing frantic to point attention at other people not involved in the campaign—but it’s not working. I’m not sure why the campaign sent TFG’s transition co-chair Howard Lutnick on CNN yesterday, but if they were hoping his anti-vaxx rantings were going to help, they were wrong.

So today I am feeling very good about the election, and I would say that the Harris ticket will win all the same states that Biden did, plus North Carolina.

The GOP lost the 2024 House election on January 2, 2023, and I would expect the Dems to have a slim majority after Tuesday and hold around 221 seats.

I can’t see John Tester losing in Montana and think the GOP will pick up just WV, so a 50/50 Senate with VP Walz as the tie-breaker.

In the meantime, it’s time for all of us to keep ourselves busy with positive activities until Tuesday night when I hope we ca  toast to a better future of all of us.

Beyoncé can sing me out: